Strategy · all-edge2-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In every sport, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 10
- Days active
- 10
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 3 / 4 / 0
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- ROI
- -23.5%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -73.3%
- Units
- -2.35u
- Max drawdown
- +3.00u
- Best 30d
- -1.00u
- Worst 30d
- -3.00u
- Longest win streak
- 2
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-03
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 284
- Days active
- 276
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 61 / 26 / 0
- Win rate
- 70.1%
- ROI
- 156.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 71.1%
- Units
- +445.39u
- Max drawdown
- +7.70u
- Best 30d
- +200.41u
- Worst 30d
- -5.66u
- Longest win streak
- 4
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-03 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsRockies @ Angels | -162 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | PhilliesPadres @ Phillies | -136 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-31 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-27 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -198 | win | +0.51u |
| 2026-05-25 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -135 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox | -157 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-23 | mlb | in ledger | GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants | -107 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks | -199 | win | +0.50u |
10 most-recent picks shown.