Strategy · all-edge2-home-all

In every sport, edge ≥ 2%, home only, sort by confidence descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 24
Days active: 11
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 3 / 4 / 0
Win rate: 42.9%
ROI: -9.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: -28.9%
Units: -2.35u
Max drawdown: +3.00u
Best 30d: -1.00u
Worst 30d: -3.00u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 1,894
Days active: 330
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 763 / 304 / 0
Win rate: 71.5%
ROI: 187.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: 155.4%
Units: +3556.60u
Max drawdown: +60.44u
Best 30d: +1885.26u
Worst 30d: -36.15u
Longest win streak: 21
Longest loss streak: 6
Range: 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-162	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BravesBlue Jays @ Braves	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPadres @ Phillies	-136	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-31	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	RoyalsYankees @ Royals	+130	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	OriolesRays @ Orioles	-105	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	Red SoxBraves @ Red Sox	-101	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-135	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	White SoxTwins @ White Sox	-106	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	White SoxTwins @ White Sox	-106	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	RoyalsYankees @ Royals	+130	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	OriolesRays @ Orioles	+114	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox	-157	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRangers @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	RoyalsMariners @ Royals	+119	pending	0.00u
2026-05-23	mlb	in ledger	GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants	-107	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-199	win	+0.50u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	AngelsAthletics @ Angels	-110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	AngelsAthletics @ Angels	-110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	CardinalsPirates @ Cardinals	-120	pending	0.00u

24 most-recent picks shown.