Strategy · all-edge5-byimplied_prob-top5
In every sport, edge ≥ 5%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 17
- Days active
- 11
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 3 / 2 / 0
- Win rate
- 60.0%
- ROI
- 1.0%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -23.3%
- Units
- +0.17u
- Max drawdown
- +2.00u
- Best 30d
- +0.17u
- Worst 30d
- -2.00u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 1,024
- Days active
- 317
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 495 / 219 / 0
- Win rate
- 69.3%
- ROI
- 111.5%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 72.1%
- Units
- +1141.57u
- Max drawdown
- +46.54u
- Best 30d
- +389.41u
- Worst 30d
- -27.60u
- Longest win streak
- 11
- Longest loss streak
- 5
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"edge_min": 0.05
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-03 | mlb | in ledger | MetsMets @ Mariners | +119 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Cardinals | -115 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | MetsMets @ Mariners | +119 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | GiantsGiants @ Brewers | +135 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-31 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-27 | nhl | in ledger | AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights | -115 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-27 | mlb | in ledger | RoyalsYankees @ Royals | +130 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | PhilliesPhillies @ Padres | -126 | win | +0.79u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | OriolesRays @ Orioles | +114 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | RoyalsYankees @ Royals | +130 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | White SoxWhite Sox @ Giants | -110 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | RoyalsMariners @ Royals | +119 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsAthletics @ Angels | -110 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-21 | mlb | in ledger | MetsMets @ Nationals | -114 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-20 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Rockies | -136 | win | +0.73u |
| 2026-05-20 | mlb | in ledger | White SoxWhite Sox @ Mariners | +123 | pending | 0.00u |
17 most-recent picks shown.