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Strategy · all-edge5-byimplied_prob-top5

In every sport, edge ≥ 5%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
17
Days active
11
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 2 / 0
Win rate
60.0%
ROI
1.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-23.3%
Units
+0.17u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+0.17u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
1,024
Days active
317
Wins / Losses / Pushes
495 / 219 / 0
Win rate
69.3%
ROI
111.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
72.1%
Units
+1141.57u
Max drawdown
+46.54u
Best 30d
+389.41u
Worst 30d
-27.60u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
5
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.05
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Mariners+119pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-115pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Mariners+119pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerGiantsGiants @ Brewers+135loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-27nhlin ledgerAvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights-115pending0.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerRoyalsYankees @ Royals+130pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerOriolesRays @ Orioles+114pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerRoyalsYankees @ Royals+130pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerWhite SoxWhite Sox @ Giants-110pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRoyalsMariners @ Royals+119pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Nationals-114pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerWhite SoxWhite Sox @ Mariners+123pending0.00u

17 most-recent picks shown.