Strategy · all-favorite-byimplied_prob-top1
In every sport, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 14
- Days active
- 14
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 8 / 3 / 0
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- ROI
- 4.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -30.2%
- Units
- +0.67u
- Max drawdown
- +3.00u
- Best 30d
- +0.67u
- Worst 30d
- -3.00u
- Longest win streak
- 6
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2026-05-21 → 2026-06-03
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 400
- Days active
- 400
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 80 / 29 / 0
- Win rate
- 73.4%
- ROI
- 86.6%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 32.6%
- Units
- +346.58u
- Max drawdown
- +4.88u
- Best 30d
- +250.23u
- Worst 30d
- -3.29u
- Longest win streak
- 7
- Longest loss streak
- 4
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite"
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-03 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsRockies @ Angels | -162 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | YankeesGuardians @ Yankees | -240 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-31 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-30 | nhl | in ledger | HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes | -238 | win | +0.42u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-28 | mlb | in ledger | DodgersRockies @ Dodgers | -424 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-27 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -198 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-26 | mlb | in ledger | DodgersRockies @ Dodgers | -325 | win | +0.31u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | BrewersCardinals @ Brewers | -225 | win | +0.44u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks | -198 | win | +0.51u |
| 2026-05-23 | nhl | in ledger | HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes | -205 | win | +0.49u |
| 2026-05-22 | nba | in ledger | KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks | -230 | win | +0.43u |
| 2026-05-21 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -238 | win | +0.42u |
14 most-recent picks shown.