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Strategy · all-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
19
Days active
14
Wins / Losses / Pushes
10 / 3 / 0
Win rate
76.9%
ROI
8.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-17.1%
Units
+1.61u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+1.61u
Worst 30d
-3.00u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
1,333
Days active
405
Wins / Losses / Pushes
335 / 142 / 0
Win rate
70.2%
ROI
-7.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
-9.1%
Units
-101.00u
Max drawdown
+107.47u
Best 30d
+6.56u
Worst 30d
-36.62u
Longest win streak
12
Longest loss streak
6
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home"
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerYankeesGuardians @ Yankees-240pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerYankeesGuardians @ Yankees-240pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198pending0.00u
2026-05-23nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-205win+0.49u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230pending0.00u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u

19 most-recent picks shown.