Skip to content

Strategy · mlb-byimplied_prob-top1

In MLB, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
12
Days active
12
Wins / Losses / Pushes
5 / 2 / 0
Win rate
71.4%
ROI
1.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
-31.5%
Units
+0.23u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+0.23u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
223
Days active
223
Wins / Losses / Pushes
91 / 55 / 0
Win rate
62.3%
ROI
-13.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-19.1%
Units
-29.66u
Max drawdown
+32.46u
Best 30d
+3.84u
Worst 30d
-12.00u
Longest win streak
7
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {}
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerYankeesGuardians @ Yankees-240pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerGuardiansNationals @ Guardians-193win+0.52u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Padres-175pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerBravesBraves @ Marlins-205pending0.00u

12 most-recent picks shown.