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Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge0-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 0%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
12
Days active
12
Wins / Losses / Pushes
5 / 3 / 0
Win rate
62.5%
ROI
0.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-42.3%
Units
+0.06u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+0.06u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
216
Days active
208
Wins / Losses / Pushes
92 / 53 / 0
Win rate
63.4%
ROI
-12.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-18.3%
Units
-26.33u
Max drawdown
+27.55u
Best 30d
+4.25u
Worst 30d
-13.76u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerPhilliesPadres @ Phillies-136pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksDiamondbacks @ Giants-136pending0.00u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerMarinersMariners @ Athletics-118pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Padres-175win+0.57u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u

12 most-recent picks shown.