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Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge0-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top5

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
20
Days active
10
Wins / Losses / Pushes
4 / 4 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-10.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
-33.7%
Units
-2.08u
Max drawdown
+3.50u
Best 30d
-1.00u
Worst 30d
-3.50u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
259
Days active
131
Wins / Losses / Pushes
77 / 24 / 0
Win rate
76.2%
ROI
462.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
314.2%
Units
+1198.55u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+549.30u
Worst 30d
-1.39u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-03-31 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerPhilliesPadres @ Phillies-136pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerBravesBlue Jays @ Braves-131pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerMetsReds @ Mets-120pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerYankeesRays @ Yankees-131pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerAngelsRangers @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerAngelsRangers @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerGiantsWhite Sox @ Giants-107pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerOriolesTigers @ Orioles-131pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerTigersGuardians @ Tigers-117pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerCardinalsPirates @ Cardinals-120pending0.00u

20 most-recent picks shown.