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Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge0-underdog-home-byedge-all
In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 0%, underdogs only, home only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.
Sports: MLB · Registry version 1
This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 240
- Days active
- 74
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 110 / 68 / 0
- Win rate
- 61.8%
- ROI
- -27.4%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -32.3%
- Units
- -65.80u
- Max drawdown
- +64.90u
- Best 30d
- +0.20u
- Worst 30d
- -34.24u
- Longest win streak
- 11
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-17
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
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