Skip to content

Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge0-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 0%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
179
Days active
74
Wins / Losses / Pushes
84 / 51 / 0
Win rate
62.2%
ROI
-27.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
-33.2%
Units
-49.32u
Max drawdown
+48.40u
Best 30d
+0.16u
Worst 30d
-27.44u
Longest win streak
7
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

No picks yet.

0 most-recent picks shown.