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Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge2-byimplied_prob-top3

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
21
Days active
10
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 3 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-4.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
-25.9%
Units
-0.97u
Max drawdown
+2.21u
Best 30d
-0.97u
Worst 30d
-2.21u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
444
Days active
188
Wins / Losses / Pushes
181 / 113 / 0
Win rate
61.6%
ROI
40.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-0.8%
Units
+180.86u
Max drawdown
+28.85u
Best 30d
+134.15u
Worst 30d
-20.38u
Longest win streak
7
Longest loss streak
5
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks-122pending0.00u
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Mariners+119pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerPhilliesPadres @ Phillies-136pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerBravesBlue Jays @ Braves-131pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-115pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-125pending0.00u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerMarinersMariners @ Athletics-118pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerCubsCubs @ Pirates-122pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerGuardiansGuardians @ Phillies-131pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerAngelsRangers @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerGiantsWhite Sox @ Giants-107pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Brewers-112pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerAthleticsAthletics @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Nationals-114pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u

21 most-recent picks shown.