Skip to content

Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge2-byimplied_prob-top5

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
25
Days active
10
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 3 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-3.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
-21.6%
Units
-0.97u
Max drawdown
+2.21u
Best 30d
-0.97u
Worst 30d
-2.21u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
576
Days active
188
Wins / Losses / Pushes
229 / 142 / 0
Win rate
61.7%
ROI
79.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
31.9%
Units
+455.61u
Max drawdown
+20.37u
Best 30d
+274.31u
Worst 30d
-16.94u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
6
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks-122pending0.00u
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Mariners+119pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerPhilliesPadres @ Phillies-136pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerBravesBlue Jays @ Braves-131pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-115pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-125pending0.00u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerMarinersMariners @ Athletics-118pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerCubsCubs @ Pirates-122pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerGuardiansGuardians @ Phillies-131pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerAngelsRangers @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerWhite SoxWhite Sox @ Giants-110pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerGiantsWhite Sox @ Giants-107pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Brewers-112pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerCardinalsCardinals @ Reds-109pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerAthleticsAthletics @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Nationals-114pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerCardinalsPirates @ Cardinals-120pending0.00u

25 most-recent picks shown.