Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge2-favorite-byedge-all

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 24
Days active: 10
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 3 / 3 / 0
Win rate: 50.0%
ROI: -4.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: -22.5%
Units: -0.97u
Max drawdown: +2.21u
Best 30d: -0.97u
Worst 30d: -2.21u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 338
Days active: 152
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 97 / 62 / 0
Win rate: 61.0%
ROI: 364.4%
Wilson-LB ROI: 246.9%
Units: +1231.71u
Max drawdown: +9.78u
Best 30d: +545.57u
Worst 30d: -6.85u
Longest win streak: 5
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-03-31 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-162	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BravesBlue Jays @ Braves	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPadres @ Phillies	-136	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-125	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	MarinersMariners @ Athletics	-118	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-126	win	+0.79u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	CubsCubs @ Pirates	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	White SoxWhite Sox @ Giants	-110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRangers @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox	-157	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	GuardiansGuardians @ Phillies	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-05-23	mlb	in ledger	GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants	-107	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	AngelsAthletics @ Angels	-110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	CardinalsCardinals @ Reds	-109	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Brewers	-112	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	AngelsAthletics @ Angels	-110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-199	win	+0.50u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	MetsMets @ Nationals	-114	pending	0.00u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	AthleticsAthletics @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Rockies	-136	win	+0.73u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	CardinalsPirates @ Cardinals	-120	pending	0.00u

24 most-recent picks shown.