Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge2-favorite-home-byedge-top10pct

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 6
Days active: 6
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 0 / 2 / 0
Win rate: 0.0%
ROI: -33.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: -87.5%
Units: -2.00u
Max drawdown: +2.00u
Best 30d: -1.00u
Worst 30d: -2.00u
Longest win streak: 0
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 92
Days active: 92
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 29 / 8 / 0
Win rate: 78.4%
ROI: 812.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: 427.3%
Units: +747.79u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +299.76u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 3
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2025-04-02 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-162	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BravesBlue Jays @ Braves	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRangers @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-23	mlb	in ledger	GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants	-107	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	AngelsAthletics @ Angels	-110	pending	0.00u

6 most-recent picks shown.