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Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge2-home-byimplied_prob-top5

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
11
Days active
7
Wins / Losses / Pushes
1 / 3 / 0
Win rate
25.0%
ROI
-22.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-57.5%
Units
-2.50u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
-1.00u
Worst 30d
-3.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
287
Days active
124
Wins / Losses / Pushes
111 / 56 / 0
Win rate
66.5%
ROI
332.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
208.1%
Units
+954.04u
Max drawdown
+6.94u
Best 30d
+492.80u
Worst 30d
-5.98u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerPhilliesPadres @ Phillies-136pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerBravesBlue Jays @ Braves-131pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerAngelsRangers @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerGiantsWhite Sox @ Giants-107pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerCardinalsPirates @ Cardinals-120pending0.00u

11 most-recent picks shown.