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Strategy · mlb-conf55-edge5-byimplied_prob-top1

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
7
Days active
7
Wins / Losses / Pushes
2 / 0 / 0
Win rate
100.0%
ROI
21.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-12.7%
Units
+1.53u
Max drawdown
0.00u
Best 30d
+1.53u
Worst 30d
0.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
0
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
127
Days active
127
Wins / Losses / Pushes
62 / 35 / 0
Win rate
63.9%
ROI
184.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
41.0%
Units
+233.83u
Max drawdown
+10.24u
Best 30d
+144.27u
Worst 30d
-5.94u
Longest win streak
9
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Mariners+119pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-115pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerWhite SoxWhite Sox @ Giants-110pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Nationals-114pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u

7 most-recent picks shown.