Strategy · mlb-conf55-favorite-away-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, favorites only, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 11
Days active: 11
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 1 / 0 / 0
Win rate: 100.0%
ROI: 7.2%
Wilson-LB ROI: -8.9%
Units: +0.79u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: +0.79u
Worst 30d: 0.00u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 152
Days active: 152
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 28 / 21 / 0
Win rate: 57.1%
ROI: 126.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: 18.9%
Units: +191.96u
Max drawdown: +5.47u
Best 30d: +102.15u
Worst 30d: -4.47u
Longest win streak: 3
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-03-31 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "away",
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-163	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-125	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksDiamondbacks @ Giants	-136	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	MarinersMariners @ Athletics	-118	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-126	win	+0.79u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Brewers	-180	pending	0.00u
2026-05-23	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Angels	-175	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Brewers	-112	pending	0.00u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Padres	-175	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	BravesBraves @ Marlins	-205	pending	0.00u

11 most-recent picks shown.