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Strategy · mlb-conf55-favorite-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In MLB, confidence ≥ 55%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
14
Days active
12
Wins / Losses / Pushes
6 / 2 / 0
Win rate
75.0%
ROI
5.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
-23.7%
Units
+0.72u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+0.72u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
254
Days active
195
Wins / Losses / Pushes
113 / 55 / 0
Win rate
67.3%
ROI
171.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
75.3%
Units
+434.78u
Max drawdown
+18.60u
Best 30d
+298.23u
Worst 30d
-9.58u
Longest win streak
10
Longest loss streak
6
Range
2025-03-31 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerYankeesGuardians @ Yankees-240pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerGuardiansNationals @ Guardians-193win+0.52u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Padres-175pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerBravesBraves @ Marlins-205pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerBravesBraves @ Marlins-205win+0.49u

14 most-recent picks shown.