Strategy · mlb-conf60-edge0-favorite-away-top10pct

In MLB, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, away only, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 4
Days active: 4
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 3 / 0 / 0
Win rate: 100.0%
ROI: 52.5%
Wilson-LB ROI: -5.2%
Units: +2.10u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: +2.10u
Worst 30d: 0.00u
Longest win streak: 3
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-02

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 89
Days active: 89
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 45 / 32 / 0
Win rate: 58.4%
ROI: 106.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: -51.4%
Units: +95.04u
Max drawdown: +5.69u
Best 30d: +102.87u
Worst 30d: -4.93u
Longest win streak: 4
Longest loss streak: 5
Range: 2025-04-22 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-126	win	+0.79u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Padres	-175	win	+0.57u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Rockies	-136	win	+0.73u

4 most-recent picks shown.