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Strategy · mlb-conf60-edge2-underdog-byimplied_prob-top5

In MLB, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
241
Days active
76
Wins / Losses / Pushes
148 / 92 / 0
Win rate
61.7%
ROI
-36.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-41.9%
Units
-88.06u
Max drawdown
+89.10u
Best 30d
+1.00u
Worst 30d
-32.04u
Longest win streak
9
Longest loss streak
8
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

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