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Strategy · mlb-conf60-edge2-underdog-home-top3

In MLB, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, home only, sort by confidence descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

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Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
103
Days active
55
Wins / Losses / Pushes
61 / 42 / 0
Win rate
59.2%
ROI
-39.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
-49.5%
Units
-40.78u
Max drawdown
+40.84u
Best 30d
+0.12u
Worst 30d
-16.56u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-27 → 2025-09-15

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

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