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Strategy · mlb-conf60-underdog-home-byedge-top10pct

In MLB, confidence ≥ 60%, underdogs only, home only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
73
Days active
73
Wins / Losses / Pushes
43 / 30 / 0
Win rate
58.9%
ROI
-39.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
-51.7%
Units
-29.14u
Max drawdown
+29.16u
Best 30d
+0.08u
Worst 30d
-12.72u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-27 → 2025-09-15

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

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