Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 2
- Days active
- 2
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 1 / 1 / 0
- Win rate
- 50.0%
- ROI
- -24.9%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -979.7%
- Units
- -0.50u
- Max drawdown
- +1.00u
- Best 30d
- -0.50u
- Worst 30d
- -1.00u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 95
- Days active
- 60
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 65 / 30 / 0
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- ROI
- 345.2%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 75.7%
- Units
- +327.96u
- Max drawdown
- +9.43u
- Best 30d
- +197.05u
- Worst 30d
- -5.92u
- Longest win streak
- 11
- Longest loss streak
- 4
- Range
- 2025-03-29 → 2026-05-15
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.65
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks | -199 | win | +0.50u |
2 most-recent picks shown.