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Strategy · mlb-conf65-edge5-home-byimplied_prob-top1
In MLB, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 5%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.
Sports: MLB · Registry version 1 · Low sample
This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.65
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 26
- Days active
- 26
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 21 / 5 / 0
- Win rate
- 80.8%
- ROI
- 565.4%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -96.0%
- Units
- +147.00u
- Max drawdown
- +2.92u
- Best 30d
- +99.08u
- Worst 30d
- -2.00u
- Longest win streak
- 8
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2025-04-08 → 2025-09-03
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.65
}
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