Skip to content

Strategy · mlb-conf65-favorite-byimplied_prob-top5

In MLB, confidence ≥ 65%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
15
Days active
8
Wins / Losses / Pushes
10 / 3 / 0
Win rate
76.9%
ROI
9.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
-23.3%
Units
+1.42u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+1.42u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
311
Days active
122
Wins / Losses / Pushes
214 / 93 / 0
Win rate
69.7%
ROI
172.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
86.3%
Units
+537.43u
Max drawdown
+25.41u
Best 30d
+255.98u
Worst 30d
-13.04u
Longest win streak
17
Longest loss streak
6
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerBravesBraves @ Marlins-205win+0.49u

15 most-recent picks shown.