Strategy · mlb-conf65-home-byedge-top1

In MLB, confidence ≥ 65%, home only, sort by edge descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 7
Days active: 7
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 4 / 2 / 0
Win rate: 66.7%
ROI: -3.4%
Wilson-LB ROI: -66.5%
Units: -0.24u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +0.26u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 3
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 138
Days active: 138
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 96 / 41 / 0
Win rate: 70.1%
ROI: 240.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: 85.9%
Units: +332.25u
Max drawdown: +14.37u
Best 30d: +147.55u
Worst 30d: -7.27u
Longest win streak: 19
Longest loss streak: 6
Range: 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-15

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-28	mlb	in ledger	DodgersRockies @ Dodgers	-424	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	DodgersRockies @ Dodgers	-325	win	+0.31u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	BrewersCardinals @ Brewers	-225	win	+0.44u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-23	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-199	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-199	win	+0.50u

7 most-recent picks shown.