Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
Not yet started.
Strategy · mlb-conf65-underdog-byimplied_prob-top1
In MLB, confidence ≥ 65%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.
Sports: MLB · Registry version 1
This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"confidence_min": 0.65
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 71
- Days active
- 71
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 44 / 27 / 0
- Win rate
- 62.0%
- ROI
- -36.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -48.6%
- Units
- -26.12u
- Max drawdown
- +25.12u
- Best 30d
- +0.04u
- Worst 30d
- -10.78u
- Longest win streak
- 10
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2025-09-16
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"confidence_min": 0.65
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
No picks yet.
0 most-recent picks shown.