Skip to content

Strategy · mlb-conf65-underdog-byimplied_prob-top5

In MLB, confidence ≥ 65%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
232
Days active
71
Wins / Losses / Pushes
141 / 91 / 0
Win rate
60.8%
ROI
-38.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-43.4%
Units
-88.18u
Max drawdown
+87.20u
Best 30d
+0.02u
Worst 30d
-35.90u
Longest win streak
9
Longest loss streak
9
Range
2025-03-27 → 2025-09-16

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

No picks yet.

0 most-recent picks shown.