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Strategy · mlb-conf70-edge0-favorite-byimplied_prob-top3

In MLB, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
3
Days active
3
Wins / Losses / Pushes
1 / 1 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-16.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
-206.6%
Units
-0.50u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
-0.50u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
62
Days active
39
Wins / Losses / Pushes
52 / 10 / 0
Win rate
83.9%
ROI
257.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-16.9%
Units
+159.48u
Max drawdown
+3.53u
Best 30d
+104.56u
Worst 30d
-1.09u
Longest win streak
31
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-14

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u

3 most-recent picks shown.