Strategy · mlb-edge10-underdog-byedge-top5

In MLB, edge ≥ 10%, underdogs only, sort by edge descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 8 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 5,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 5,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 2
Days active: 2
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 0 / 0 / 0
Win rate: —
ROI: 0.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: 0.0%
Units: 0.00u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: 0.00u
Worst 30d: 0.00u
Longest win streak: 0
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-27 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 18
Days active: 17
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 4 / 3 / 0
Win rate: 57.1%
ROI: 5.2%
Wilson-LB ROI: -29.4%
Units: +0.94u
Max drawdown: +2.00u
Best 30d: +1.00u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2025-04-13 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.1
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	MetsMets @ Mariners	+119	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	RoyalsYankees @ Royals	+130	pending	0.00u

2 most-recent picks shown.