Strategy · mlb-edge2-byimplied_prob-all

In MLB, edge ≥ 2%, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 43
Days active: 11
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 3 / 4 / 0
Win rate: 42.9%
ROI: -4.6%
Wilson-LB ROI: -15.6%
Units: -1.97u
Max drawdown: +3.21u
Best 30d: -1.00u
Worst 30d: -3.21u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 998
Days active: 213
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 282 / 170 / 0
Win rate: 62.4%
ROI: 113.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: 72.9%
Units: +1135.38u
Max drawdown: +16.65u
Best 30d: +514.57u
Worst 30d: -14.38u
Longest win streak: 8
Longest loss streak: 6
Range: 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-162	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	MetsMets @ Mariners	+119	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	MetsMets @ Mariners	+119	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPadres @ Phillies	-136	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BravesBlue Jays @ Braves	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	MetsMets @ Mariners	+119	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	MetsMets @ Mariners	+119	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-125	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	MarlinsMarlins @ Nationals	+123	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	GiantsGiants @ Brewers	+135	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	OriolesRays @ Orioles	-105	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	Red SoxBraves @ Red Sox	-101	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	RoyalsYankees @ Royals	+130	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	MarinersMariners @ Athletics	-118	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-126	win	+0.79u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	CubsCubs @ Pirates	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	White SoxTwins @ White Sox	-106	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	White SoxTwins @ White Sox	-106	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	AstrosAstros @ Rangers	+109	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	OriolesRays @ Orioles	+114	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	RoyalsYankees @ Royals	+130	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox	-157	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	GuardiansGuardians @ Phillies	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRangers @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	White SoxWhite Sox @ Giants	-110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	TigersTigers @ Orioles	+100	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	RoyalsMariners @ Royals	+119	pending	0.00u
2026-05-23	mlb	in ledger	GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants	-107	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-199	win	+0.50u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Brewers	-112	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	AngelsAthletics @ Angels	-110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	AngelsAthletics @ Angels	-110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	CardinalsCardinals @ Reds	-109	pending	0.00u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	AthleticsAthletics @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	MetsMets @ Nationals	-114	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Rockies	-136	win	+0.73u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	CardinalsPirates @ Cardinals	-120	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	OriolesOrioles @ Rays	+109	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	GiantsGiants @ Diamondbacks	+113	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	White SoxWhite Sox @ Mariners	+123	pending	0.00u

43 most-recent picks shown.