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Strategy · mlb-edge2-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In MLB, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
15
Days active
9
Wins / Losses / Pushes
1 / 3 / 0
Win rate
25.0%
ROI
-16.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-41.6%
Units
-2.50u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
-1.00u
Worst 30d
-3.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
205
Days active
116
Wins / Losses / Pushes
42 / 15 / 0
Win rate
73.7%
ROI
509.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
334.3%
Units
+1043.64u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+498.42u
Worst 30d
-1.42u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerPhilliesPadres @ Phillies-136pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerBravesBlue Jays @ Braves-131pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerOriolesRays @ Orioles-105pending0.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerRed SoxBraves @ Red Sox-101pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerWhite SoxTwins @ White Sox-106pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerWhite SoxTwins @ White Sox-106pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerAngelsRangers @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerGiantsWhite Sox @ Giants-107pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerCardinalsPirates @ Cardinals-120pending0.00u

15 most-recent picks shown.