Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 19
- Days active
- 9
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 1 / 3 / 0
- Win rate
- 25.0%
- ROI
- -13.1%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -32.6%
- Units
- -2.50u
- Max drawdown
- +3.00u
- Best 30d
- -1.00u
- Worst 30d
- -3.00u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 362
- Days active
- 141
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 111 / 56 / 0
- Win rate
- 66.5%
- ROI
- 263.6%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 164.3%
- Units
- +954.04u
- Max drawdown
- +6.94u
- Best 30d
- +492.80u
- Worst 30d
- -5.98u
- Longest win streak
- 5
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"mlb"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-03 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsRockies @ Angels | -162 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | PhilliesPadres @ Phillies | -136 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | BravesBlue Jays @ Braves | -131 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-27 | mlb | in ledger | OriolesRays @ Orioles | -105 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-27 | mlb | in ledger | Red SoxBraves @ Red Sox | -101 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-27 | mlb | in ledger | RoyalsYankees @ Royals | +130 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | White SoxTwins @ White Sox | -106 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | White SoxTwins @ White Sox | -106 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | OriolesRays @ Orioles | +114 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | RoyalsYankees @ Royals | +130 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox | -157 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsRangers @ Angels | -126 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | RoyalsMariners @ Royals | +119 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-23 | mlb | in ledger | GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants | -107 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks | -199 | win | +0.50u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsAthletics @ Angels | -110 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsAthletics @ Angels | -110 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-20 | mlb | in ledger | CardinalsPirates @ Cardinals | -120 | pending | 0.00u |
19 most-recent picks shown.