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Strategy · mlb-edge2-top10pct

In MLB, edge ≥ 2%, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "mlb"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
11
Days active
11
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 3 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-8.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-53.0%
Units
-0.97u
Max drawdown
+2.21u
Best 30d
-0.97u
Worst 30d
-2.21u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
212
Days active
212
Wins / Losses / Pushes
90 / 57 / 0
Win rate
61.2%
ROI
103.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
17.0%
Units
+219.30u
Max drawdown
+11.87u
Best 30d
+92.86u
Worst 30d
-9.11u
Longest win streak
7
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-115pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerRoyalsYankees @ Royals+130pending0.00u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerMarinersMariners @ Athletics-118pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerGiantsWhite Sox @ Giants-107pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerAthleticsAthletics @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u

11 most-recent picks shown.