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Strategy · mlb-edge2-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top5

In MLB, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
4
Days active
3
Wins / Losses / Pushes
0 / 0 / 0
Win rate
ROI
0.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
0.0%
Units
0.00u
Max drawdown
0.00u
Best 30d
0.00u
Worst 30d
0.00u
Longest win streak
0
Longest loss streak
0
Range
2026-05-24 → 2026-05-27

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
170
Days active
74
Wins / Losses / Pushes
70 / 45 / 0
Win rate
60.9%
ROI
-25.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-31.3%
Units
-43.60u
Max drawdown
+43.66u
Best 30d
+0.14u
Worst 30d
-19.52u
Longest win streak
7
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerRoyalsYankees @ Royals+130pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerOriolesRays @ Orioles+114pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerRoyalsYankees @ Royals+130pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRoyalsMariners @ Royals+119pending0.00u

4 most-recent picks shown.