Skip to content

Strategy · mlb-edge5-underdog-byimplied_prob-top3

In MLB, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
8
Days active
7
Wins / Losses / Pushes
0 / 1 / 0
Win rate
0.0%
ROI
-12.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-42.1%
Units
-1.00u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
0.00u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
0
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
182
Days active
101
Wins / Losses / Pushes
58 / 31 / 0
Win rate
65.2%
ROI
-12.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-17.7%
Units
-21.87u
Max drawdown
+28.02u
Best 30d
+5.09u
Worst 30d
-11.70u
Longest win streak
7
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.05
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Mariners+119pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Mariners+119pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerGiantsGiants @ Brewers+135loss-1.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerRoyalsYankees @ Royals+130pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerOriolesRays @ Orioles+114pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerRoyalsYankees @ Royals+130pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRoyalsMariners @ Royals+119pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerWhite SoxWhite Sox @ Mariners+123pending0.00u

8 most-recent picks shown.