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Strategy · mlb-underdog-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In MLB, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
8
Days active
8
Wins / Losses / Pushes
0 / 0 / 0
Win rate
ROI
0.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
0.0%
Units
0.00u
Max drawdown
0.00u
Best 30d
0.00u
Worst 30d
0.00u
Longest win streak
0
Longest loss streak
0
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
245
Days active
181
Wins / Losses / Pushes
53 / 35 / 0
Win rate
60.2%
ROI
-13.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-17.1%
Units
-32.43u
Max drawdown
+32.98u
Best 30d
+1.53u
Worst 30d
-15.68u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
5
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "mlb"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog"
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Mariners+119pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerOriolesOrioles @ Red Sox+118pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerMarlinsMarlins @ Nationals+123pending0.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerAngelsAngels @ Tigers+108pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerAstrosAstros @ Rangers+109pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerTigersTigers @ Orioles+100pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerAthleticsAthletics @ Padres+113pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerOriolesOrioles @ Rays+109pending0.00u

8 most-recent picks shown.