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Strategy · nba-conf55-edge0-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top1

In NBA, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
6
Days active
6
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 1 / 0
Win rate
75.0%
ROI
9.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-53.3%
Units
+0.58u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+0.58u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
70
Days active
66
Wins / Losses / Pushes
17 / 5 / 0
Win rate
77.3%
ROI
2.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-5.9%
Units
+1.42u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+2.45u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-10-26 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-30nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-28nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-26nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-135pending0.00u
2026-05-23nbain ledgerCavaliersKnicks @ Cavaliers-130pending0.00u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u

6 most-recent picks shown.