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Strategy · nba-conf55-edge0-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In NBA, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 0%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
8
Days active
6
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 1 / 0
Win rate
75.0%
ROI
7.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-35.3%
Units
+0.58u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+0.58u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
157
Days active
88
Wins / Losses / Pushes
55 / 11 / 0
Win rate
83.3%
ROI
64.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
43.4%
Units
+100.75u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+98.68u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
13
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-10-26 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-30nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-28nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-28nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155pending0.00u
2026-05-26nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-135pending0.00u
2026-05-24nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-135pending0.00u
2026-05-23nbain ledgerCavaliersKnicks @ Cavaliers-130pending0.00u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u

8 most-recent picks shown.