Strategy · nba-conf55-edge5-byedge-top1

In NBA, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, sort by edge descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 2
Days active: 2
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 1 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 50.0%
ROI: -17.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: -1062.8%
Units: -0.35u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: -0.35u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-28 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 39
Days active: 35
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 20 / 5 / 0
Win rate: 80.0%
ROI: 207.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: 106.2%
Units: +80.74u
Max drawdown: +1.31u
Best 30d: +81.05u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 7
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2025-11-09 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-30	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u

2 most-recent picks shown.