Strategy · nba-conf55-edge5-home-byedge-top3

In NBA, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, home only, sort by edge descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.05
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 2
Days active: 2
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 1 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 50.0%
ROI: -17.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: -1062.8%
Units: -0.35u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: -0.35u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-28 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 60
Days active: 26
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 45 / 7 / 0
Win rate: 86.5%
ROI: 333.5%
Wilson-LB ROI: 253.8%
Units: +200.12u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +200.90u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 11
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2025-11-09 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-30	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u

2 most-recent picks shown.