Strategy · nba-conf55-edge5-underdog-byedge-all

In NBA, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 11 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 112
Days active: 19
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 82 / 15 / 0
Win rate: 84.5%
ROI: 278.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: 227.8%
Units: +311.70u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +312.70u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 20
Longest loss streak: 5
Range: 2025-11-09 → 2026-03-23

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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