Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 6
- Days active
- 6
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 3 / 1 / 0
- Win rate
- 75.0%
- ROI
- 8.3%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -53.6%
- Units
- +0.50u
- Max drawdown
- +1.00u
- Best 30d
- +0.50u
- Worst 30d
- -1.00u
- Longest win streak
- 2
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2026-05-20 → 2026-05-30
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 180
- Days active
- 159
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 26 / 11 / 0
- Win rate
- 70.3%
- ROI
- -0.7%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -4.5%
- Units
- -1.26u
- Max drawdown
- +3.88u
- Best 30d
- +2.49u
- Worst 30d
- -2.67u
- Longest win streak
- 3
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2025-10-25 → 2026-05-19
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"confidence_min": 0.6
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-05-30 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-28 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-26 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -198 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -135 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-21 | nba | in ledger | KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks | -230 | win | +0.43u |
| 2026-05-20 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -238 | win | +0.42u |
6 most-recent picks shown.