Strategy · nba-conf60-home-byedge-all

In NBA, confidence ≥ 60%, home only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 10
Days active: 6
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 5 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 83.3%
ROI: 14.2%
Wilson-LB ROI: -19.6%
Units: +1.43u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +1.43u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 3
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 1,014
Days active: 166
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 258 / 70 / 0
Win rate: 78.7%
ROI: 29.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: 23.2%
Units: +301.68u
Max drawdown: +11.16u
Best 30d: +297.87u
Worst 30d: -10.05u
Longest win streak: 17
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-10-25 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-30	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-135	pending	0.00u
2026-05-21	nba	in ledger	KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks	-230	win	+0.43u
2026-05-21	nba	in ledger	KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks	-230	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-238	win	+0.42u
2026-05-20	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-238	win	+0.42u

10 most-recent picks shown.