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Strategy · nba-conf65-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NBA, confidence ≥ 65%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
5
Days active
5
Wins / Losses / Pushes
4 / 1 / 0
Win rate
80.0%
ROI
20.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
-64.0%
Units
+1.00u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+1.00u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
180
Days active
151
Wins / Losses / Pushes
25 / 11 / 0
Win rate
69.4%
ROI
-1.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-5.1%
Units
-3.11u
Max drawdown
+4.65u
Best 30d
+1.88u
Worst 30d
-2.67u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-10-25 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-30nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-28nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-26nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-20nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u

5 most-recent picks shown.