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Strategy · nba-conf65-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top5

In NBA, confidence ≥ 65%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
7
Days active
5
Wins / Losses / Pushes
5 / 1 / 0
Win rate
83.3%
ROI
20.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
-32.0%
Units
+1.43u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+1.43u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
503
Days active
134
Wins / Losses / Pushes
101 / 35 / 0
Win rate
74.3%
ROI
-0.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-2.9%
Units
-3.62u
Max drawdown
+9.68u
Best 30d
+4.80u
Worst 30d
-8.57u
Longest win streak
9
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-10-25 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-30nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-28nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-26nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230pending0.00u
2026-05-20nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u
2026-05-20nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u

7 most-recent picks shown.