Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
Not yet started.
Strategy · nba-conf70-edge0-favorite-away-byimplied_prob-top1
In NBA, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.
Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample
This rule is equivalent to 3 other spellings
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 39
- Days active
- 38
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 17 / 8 / 0
- Win rate
- 68.0%
- ROI
- -5.3%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -22.0%
- Units
- -2.06u
- Max drawdown
- +4.98u
- Best 30d
- +2.30u
- Worst 30d
- -3.02u
- Longest win streak
- 5
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2025-11-01 → 2026-05-11
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
No picks yet.
0 most-recent picks shown.