Strategy · nba-conf70-edge0-favorite-byimplied_prob-top3

In NBA, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 3
Days active: 3
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 3 / 0 / 0
Win rate: 100.0%
ROI: 52.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: 26.3%
Units: +1.58u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: +1.58u
Worst 30d: +0.65u
Longest win streak: 3
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-21 → 2026-05-28

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 78
Days active: 56
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 39 / 17 / 0
Win rate: 69.6%
ROI: -4.6%
Wilson-LB ROI: -16.6%
Units: -3.62u
Max drawdown: +7.64u
Best 30d: +3.95u
Worst 30d: -3.69u
Longest win streak: 7
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-11-01 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-21	nba	in ledger	KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks	-230	win	+0.43u

3 most-recent picks shown.