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Strategy · nba-conf70-edge10-underdog-top10pct
In NBA, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 10%, underdogs only, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample
This rule is equivalent to 23 other spellings
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"edge_min": 0.1,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.1,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
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},
"filters": {
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"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.1,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.1,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
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"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"edge_min": 0.1,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.1,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 14
- Days active
- 12
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 13 / 1 / 0
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- ROI
- 571.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 423.7%
- Units
- +80.05u
- Max drawdown
- +1.00u
- Best 30d
- +80.05u
- Worst 30d
- +6.25u
- Longest win streak
- 8
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2025-11-09 → 2025-11-24
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.1,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
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