Strategy · nba-conf70-edge2-byimplied_prob-all

In NBA, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 2%, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 2
Days active: 2
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 2 / 0 / 0
Win rate: 100.0%
ROI: 57.5%
Wilson-LB ROI: -31.4%
Units: +1.15u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: +1.15u
Worst 30d: +0.65u
Longest win streak: 2
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-26 → 2026-05-28

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 71
Days active: 31
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 53 / 12 / 0
Win rate: 81.5%
ROI: 307.4%
Wilson-LB ROI: 231.2%
Units: +218.25u
Max drawdown: +1.19u
Best 30d: +217.73u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 12
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2025-11-09 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u

2 most-recent picks shown.